Rest of Season Projection
EliCategoryJake
37K ←31
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →1–3
1–4SV ←0
Current Season
EliCategoryJake
15K →20
5.51ERA →5.00
1.90WHIP →1.33
0W →1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eli Morgan
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (7.11)
Jake Bird
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.97 sits 0.13 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.353 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Eli Morgan: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Jake Bird: 31 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).