Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryJake
37K ←34
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–3
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryJake
20K20
1.74ERA ←5.00
1.40WHIP →1.33
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Silseth
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.55 is 1.89 above the ERA — regression coming
Jake Bird
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Chase Silseth: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Jake Bird: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).