week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Chase Silseth
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.71); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 17ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 1–1SV 0
Silseth is a hold — near-average skill, limited data.
ROS projects K 20 YTD → 17 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %28.8%—+5.1% ▲vs his ~23.7% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.71)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed32.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.8%vs his norm —
90 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed10.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —
90 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.300
lg avg .315 ▼−.015vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
156 / 200 TBF
xERA3.71
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.39vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
156 / 200 TBF
ERA3.03
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.07vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
35.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %28.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.8%vs his norm +5.1% ▲
156 / 70 TBF
Walk %12.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.8%vs his norm +1.2% ▲Walk % is above his ~11.6% norm — expect it to fall.
156 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.314
lg avg .295 ▲+.019vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
90 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %16.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.2%vs his norm —
156 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —
156 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.0 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.0 mphvs his norm —
655 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 28.8%→25.9%signal17 K — K% 28.8% (signal) tempered to career ~23.7% → projected 25.9% over ~20 remaining…
xERA 3.71noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.71 (noise) blended 1% skill / 99% league 3.70 at 21 IP.
BB% 12.8% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 13% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.297 gives a 1.43 skill WHIP, blended 1…
run support + role1-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.