Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryKevin
31K →39
3.70ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
JakeCategoryKevin
20K →28
5.00ERA →3.09
1.33WHIP →1.07
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Bird
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.97 sits 0.13 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.353 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Kevin Ginkel
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.71)
Jake Bird: 31 K / 3.70 ERA. Kevin Ginkel: 39 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).