MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Portrait of Eli Morgan
Eli Morgan
KC · P
Change to
Ryan Gusto
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Eli Morgan wins 1 (SV); Ryan Gusto wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Eli Morgan
91.2
Ryan Gusto
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Eli Morgan
11.8%
Ryan Gusto
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Eli Morgan
17.9%
Ryan Gusto
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Eli Morgan
34.4%
Ryan Gusto
29.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Eli Morgan
42.4%
Ryan Gusto
44.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Eli Morgan
5.1%
Ryan Gusto
9.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Eli Morgan
.399
Ryan Gusto
.346
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Eli Morgan
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.51
3.70
Ryan Gusto
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Eli Morgan
.9802.16
now 1.90
1.24
Ryan Gusto
.9802.16
now 1.67
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Eli Morgan
4043.20
now 15
25
Ryan Gusto
4043.20
now 4
32
Winshigher is better
Eli Morgan
.000.480
now 0
00
Ryan Gusto
.000.480
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Eli Morgan
.0004.40
now 1
13
Ryan Gusto
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeEli Morgan — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRyan Gusto — hold.conf 0.50
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