MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Javier Assad
CHC · P
Change to
Ryan Gusto
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ryan Gusto.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Javier Assad’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Ryan Gusto wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Javier Assad wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Javier Assad
93.3
Ryan Gusto
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Javier Assad
5.8%
Ryan Gusto
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Javier Assad
14.7%
Ryan Gusto
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Javier Assad
22.6%
Ryan Gusto
29.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Javier Assad
49.1%
Ryan Gusto
44.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Javier Assad
7.4%
Ryan Gusto
9.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Javier Assad
.332
Ryan Gusto
.346
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Javier Assad
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.88
4.32
Ryan Gusto
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Javier Assad
1.071.84
now 1.27
1.31
Ryan Gusto
1.071.84
now 1.67
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Javier Assad
4043.20
now 14
24
Ryan Gusto
4043.20
now 4
32
Winshigher is better
Javier Assad
.0009.80
now 3
27
Ryan Gusto
.0009.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighJavier Assad — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
Hold · wait & seeRyan Gusto — hold.conf 0.50
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