MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Ryan Gusto
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 0 (none); Ryan Gusto wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Ryan Gusto
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
8.7%
Ryan Gusto
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.4%
Ryan Gusto
19.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.3%
Ryan Gusto
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
33.3%
Ryan Gusto
45.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
2.0%
Ryan Gusto
9.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.281
Ryan Gusto
.358
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Ryan Gusto
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9002.10
now 0.60
1.24
Ryan Gusto
.9002.10
now 1.67
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4043.20
now 6
32
Ryan Gusto
4043.20
now 4
32
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.000.480
now 0
00
Ryan Gusto
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRyan Gusto — hold.conf 0.50
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