MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Luis Medina
Luis Medina
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Ferguson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Luis Medina wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Luis Medina
97.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
8.7%
Luis Medina
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.4%
Luis Medina
26.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.3%
Luis Medina
23.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
33.3%
Luis Medina
38.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
2.0%
Luis Medina
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.281
Luis Medina
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Luis Medina
25.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.88
3.72
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.51
now 0.60
1.24
Luis Medina
.9001.51
now 1.20
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4042.40
now 6
32
Luis Medina
4042.40
now 27
25
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0002.80
now 0
00
Luis Medina
.0002.80
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeLuis Medina — hold.conf 0.50
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