MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 10, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Javier Assad
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Ferguson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Javier Assad wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Javier Assad
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
8.7%
Javier Assad
5.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
22.4%
Javier Assad
14.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.3%
Javier Assad
22.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
33.3%
Javier Assad
49.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
2.0%
Javier Assad
7.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.282
Javier Assad
.332
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
28.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Javier Assad
28.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.88
4.32
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.59
now 0.60
1.24
Javier Assad
.9001.59
now 1.27
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4043.80
now 6
33
Javier Assad
4043.80
now 14
25
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0009.80
now 0
00
Javier Assad
.0009.80
now 3
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighJavier Assad — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
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