MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Caleb Ferguson wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Caleb Ferguson
8.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Caleb Ferguson
21.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Caleb Ferguson
29.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Caleb Ferguson
34.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Caleb Ferguson
1.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Caleb Ferguson
.278
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
25.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.09
Caleb Ferguson
25.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
.9001.66
now 1.28
1.36
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.66
now 0.60
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4046.60
now 17
35
Caleb Ferguson
4046.60
now 6
30
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.20
now 1
13
Caleb Ferguson
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Caleb Ferguson
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet