MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Craig Kimbrel
Craig Kimbrel
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 0 (none); Craig Kimbrel wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Craig Kimbrel
93.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
8.6%
Craig Kimbrel
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
21.3%
Craig Kimbrel
22.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
29.7%
Craig Kimbrel
28.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
34.5%
Craig Kimbrel
36.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
1.8%
Craig Kimbrel
3.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.278
Craig Kimbrel
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
27.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Craig Kimbrel
27.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.78
now 0.60
1.24
Craig Kimbrel
.9001.78
now 1.44
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4039.60
now 6
30
Craig Kimbrel
4039.60
now 17
30
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.000.480
now 0
00
Craig Kimbrel
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCraig Kimbrel — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet