MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Sam Bachman
Sam Bachman
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves. Sam Bachman’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Sam Bachman wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Sam Bachman
98.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Sam Bachman
15.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Sam Bachman
25.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Sam Bachman
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Sam Bachman
33.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Sam Bachman
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Sam Bachman
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
24.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.09
Sam Bachman
24.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.22
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
.9801.47
now 1.28
1.36
Sam Bachman
.9801.47
now 1.09
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4042.20
now 17
35
Sam Bachman
4042.20
now 29
22
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.20
now 1
13
Sam Bachman
.0004.20
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Sam Bachman
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeSam Bachman — hold.conf 0.50
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