Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryPatrick
8HR ←7
16R ←14
16RBI →21
4SB →5
.195AVG →.213
Current Season
JakeCategoryPatrick
0HR →2
4R →6
4RBI →9
1SB →2
.137AVG →.147
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Rogers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.258)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Patrick Bailey
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.181 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Jake Rogers: 8 HR / 16 R. Patrick Bailey: 7 HR / 14 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).