MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Portrait of Jake Woodford
Jake Woodford
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Jalen Beeks
Jalen Beeks
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jake Woodford.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and saves. Jalen Beeks’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Jake Woodford wins 3 categories (K, ERA, SV); Jalen Beeks wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jake Woodford
93.5
Jalen Beeks
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jake Woodford
9.3%
Jalen Beeks
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jake Woodford
17.9%
Jalen Beeks
18.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jake Woodford
27.6%
Jalen Beeks
28.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jake Woodford
48.2%
Jalen Beeks
42.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jake Woodford
7.1%
Jalen Beeks
10.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jake Woodford
.368
Jalen Beeks
.363
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jake Woodford
2.717.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.20
3.71
Jalen Beeks
2.717.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.86
3.76
WHIPlower is better
Jake Woodford
1.071.84
now 1.67
1.24
Jalen Beeks
1.071.84
now 1.37
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jake Woodford
4028.60
now 19
23
Jalen Beeks
4028.60
now 18
22
Winshigher is better
Jake Woodford
.2003.80
now 1
12
Jalen Beeks
.2003.80
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Jake Woodford
.0003.40
now 1
12
Jalen Beeks
.0003.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJake Woodford — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJalen Beeks — hold.conf 0.50
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