Rest of Season Projection
JakobCategoryMatt
25K →38
3.68ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →1–2
3–6SV ←1–3
Current Season
JakobCategoryMatt
16K →27
1.75ERA ←4.68
0.78WHIP ←1.24
0W →1
3SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jakob Junis
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.200 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.26 is 1.69 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Festa
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.60)
Jakob Junis: 25 K / 3.68 ERA. Matt Festa: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).