Rest of Season Projection
JakobCategoryTim
31K ←25
3.67ERA ←3.71
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →2–6
3–6SV ←0
Current Season
JakobCategoryTim
16K ←11
1.75ERA ←4.03
0.78WHIP ←1.21
0W →2
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jakob Junis
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.205 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.09 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Tim Hill
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.32)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jakob Junis: 31 K / 3.67 ERA. Tim Hill: 25 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).