Rest of Season Projection
JalenCategorySam
31K →38
3.73ERA →3.63
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–5W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
JalenCategorySam
18K →29
3.86ERA →2.22
1.37WHIP →1.09
2W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jalen Beeks
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.84)
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.72 is 0.57 above the ERA — regression coming
Jalen Beeks: 31 K / 3.73 ERA. Sam Bachman: 38 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).