Rest of Season Projection
JonathanCategorySam
26K →38
3.70ERA →3.63
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–2W1–2
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
JonathanCategorySam
13K →29
2.49ERA →2.22
1.06WHIP ←1.09
1W1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jonathan Loáisiga
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.87)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.72 is 0.57 above the ERA — regression coming
Jonathan Loáisiga: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Sam Bachman: 38 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).