Rest of Season Projection
JalenCategorySam
35K →44
3.74ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–5W ←1–3
0SV →1–3
Current Season
JalenCategorySam
18K →26
3.86ERA →2.49
1.37WHIP →1.07
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jalen Beeks
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.91)
Sam Moll
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.213 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.33 is 0.94 above the ERA — regression coming
Jalen Beeks: 35 K / 3.74 ERA. Sam Moll: 44 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).