Who's more valuable, rest of season
Jared Jones.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Lucas Giolito’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
▶
SV n/a
Jared Jones wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Lucas Giolito wins 1 (W); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jared Jones
98.4
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jared Jones
14.6%
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jared Jones
27.1%
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jared Jones
29.3%
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jared Jones
39.7%
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jared Jones
7.9%
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jared Jones
.284
Lucas Giolito
.357
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jared Jones
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.38
3.33
Lucas Giolito
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Jared Jones
.9002.44
now 2.08
1.19
Lucas Giolito
.9002.44
now 1.74
1.30
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jared Jones
4052.20
now 6
39
Lucas Giolito
4052.20
now 6
21
Winshigher is better
Jared Jones
.0009.80
now 0
0–0
Lucas Giolito
.0009.80
now 2
3–7
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJared Jones — buy.conf 0.83
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50