MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 8, 2026
Jimmy Herget
COL · P
Change to
Portrait of Keaton Winn
Keaton Winn
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jimmy Herget.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Keaton Winn’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Jimmy Herget wins 2 categories (K, SV); Keaton Winn wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jimmy Herget
92.3
Keaton Winn
96.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jimmy Herget
15.0%
Keaton Winn
12.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jimmy Herget
24.5%
Keaton Winn
21.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jimmy Herget
31.3%
Keaton Winn
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jimmy Herget
40.0%
Keaton Winn
27.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jimmy Herget
9.2%
Keaton Winn
4.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jimmy Herget
.290
Keaton Winn
.289
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jimmy Herget
26.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
3.70
Keaton Winn
26.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Jimmy Herget
.9001.57
now 1.38
1.24
Keaton Winn
.9001.57
now 0.90
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jimmy Herget
4029.60
now 17
24
Keaton Winn
4029.60
now 22
21
Winshigher is better
Jimmy Herget
.0001.48
now 0
00
Keaton Winn
.0001.48
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Jimmy Herget
.0004.40
now 1
13
Keaton Winn
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJimmy Herget — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeKeaton Winn — hold.conf 0.50
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