MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
TEX · DH
Change to
Portrait of Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOS · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 5 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Joc Pederson wins 0 (none); Willson Contreras wins 0 (none); 5 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Joc Pederson
92.1
Willson Contreras
89.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Joc Pederson
50.9%
Willson Contreras
44.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Joc Pederson
11.3%
Willson Contreras
13.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Joc Pederson
30.1%
Willson Contreras
34.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Joc Pederson
14.1%
Willson Contreras
14.9%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Joc Pederson
.343
Willson Contreras
.377
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Joc Pederson
.200.400
lg AVG .295
now .240
.000
Willson Contreras
.200.400
lg AVG .295
now .286
.000

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Joc Pederson
515.40
now 8
0
Willson Contreras
515.40
now 11
0
Runshigher is better
Joc Pederson
2036.40
now 23
0
Willson Contreras
2036.40
now 26
0
RBIhigher is better
Joc Pederson
2046.20
now 19
0
Willson Contreras
2046.20
now 33
0
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Joc Pederson
.0002.20
now 0
0
Willson Contreras
.0002.20
now 1
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJoc Pederson — buy.conf 0.66
BuyWillson Contreras — buy.conf 0.72
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