Rest of Season Projection
JoeCategoryPatrick
6HR →7
25R ←14
21RBI21
0SB →5
.203AVG →.219
Current Season
JoeCategoryPatrick
0HR →2
7R ←6
6RBI →9
0SB →2
.209AVG ←.147
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joe Mack
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.239)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Patrick Bailey
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.183 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Joe Mack: 6 HR / 25 R. Patrick Bailey: 7 HR / 14 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).