Rest of Season Projection
JoelCategoryJuan
20K →41
3.72ERA →3.70
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–2W1–2
4–8SV ←3–5
Current Season
JoelCategoryJuan
13K →30
3.04ERA ←6.00
1.18WHIP ←1.70
1W1
4SV ←3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joel Kuhnel
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.33)
Juan Mejia
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.69 sits 0.41 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.375 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Joel Kuhnel: 20 K / 3.72 ERA. Juan Mejia: 41 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).