Rest of Season Projection
JoelCategoryWill
25K →44
3.73ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W1–3
4–8SV ←1–3
Current Season
JoelCategoryWill
13K →25
3.04ERA →1.88
1.18WHIP →1.04
1W1
4SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joel Kuhnel
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.45 is 1.57 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Will Klein
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.79)
Joel Kuhnel: 25 K / 3.73 ERA. Will Klein: 44 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).