Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategorySean
29K →67
3.67ERA ←3.77
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–3W ←0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JohnCategorySean
20K →42
2.52ERA ←5.08
0.72WHIP ←1.46
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
John King
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.108 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.10 is 0.74 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Manaea
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.343 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
John King: 29 K / 3.67 ERA. Sean Manaea: 67 K / 3.77 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).