Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategoryTim
29K ←25
3.67ERA ←3.71
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–6
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JohnCategoryTim
20K ←11
2.52ERA ←4.03
0.72WHIP ←1.21
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
John King
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.108 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.09 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Tim Hill
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.32)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
John King: 29 K / 3.67 ERA. Tim Hill: 25 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).