Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategoryTyler
26K →33
3.68ERA3.67
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–2W ←1–2
1–3SV →1–5
Current Season
JohnCategoryTyler
20K →21
2.52ERA ←3.12
0.72WHIP ←1.38
1W1
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
John King
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.106 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.18 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Alexander
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.23)
John King: 26 K / 3.68 ERA. Tyler Alexander: 33 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).