Rest of Season Projection
JonathanCategoryKyle
14HR →19
49R →52
63RBI ←57
0SB →1
.253AVG ←.189
Current Season
JonathanCategoryKyle
11HR →22
34R →36
43RBI ←39
0SB →1
.283AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jonathan Aranda
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.384, +0.069 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Kyle Schwarber
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.378, +0.063 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jonathan Aranda: 14 HR / 49 R. Kyle Schwarber: 19 HR / 52 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

