MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Jonathan Bowlan
Jonathan Bowlan
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Yarbrough
Ryan Yarbrough
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ryan Yarbrough.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Ryan Yarbrough wins 2 categories (K, SV); Jonathan Bowlan wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
97.4
Ryan Yarbrough
87.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
17.1%
Ryan Yarbrough
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
31.3%
Ryan Yarbrough
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
34.0%
Ryan Yarbrough
26.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jonathan Bowlan
33.3%
Ryan Yarbrough
24.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jonathan Bowlan
4.2%
Ryan Yarbrough
3.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jonathan Bowlan
.249
Ryan Yarbrough
.274
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jonathan Bowlan
3.265.07
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
3.70
Ryan Yarbrough
3.265.07
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.66
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Jonathan Bowlan
1.051.31
now 1.15
1.24
Ryan Yarbrough
1.051.31
now 1.12
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jonathan Bowlan
4026.60
now 16
18
Ryan Yarbrough
4026.60
now 14
21
Winshigher is better
Jonathan Bowlan
.0002.80
now 1
12
Ryan Yarbrough
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Jonathan Bowlan
.0004.40
now 0
0
Ryan Yarbrough
.0004.40
now 1
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJonathan Bowlan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.82
Hold · wait & seeRyan Yarbrough — hold.conf 0.50
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