Rest of Season Projection
JordanCategoryLake
31K →42
3.70ERA →3.63
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JordanCategoryLake
15K →32
5.60ERA →3.77
2.09WHIP →1.01
0W0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jordan Hicks
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.358 elevated and unstable — the 5.60 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.48 is +0.38 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Lake Bachar
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.85)
Jordan Hicks: 31 K / 3.70 ERA. Lake Bachar: 42 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).