MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Sean Newcomb
Sean Newcomb
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Sean Newcomb’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Sean Newcomb wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.2
Sean Newcomb
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
13.3%
Sean Newcomb
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
26.9%
Sean Newcomb
21.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
33.0%
Sean Newcomb
27.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
29.6%
Sean Newcomb
36.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.9%
Sean Newcomb
5.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.303
Sean Newcomb
.305
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
26.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.79
Sean Newcomb
26.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.62
3.83
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
.9002.10
now 1.81
1.34
Sean Newcomb
.9002.10
now 1.08
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4041.40
now 26
6
Sean Newcomb
4041.40
now 31
5
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
00
Sean Newcomb
.0001.48
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · leans buySean Newcomb — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet