Rest of Season Projection
JoseCategoryTanner
58K →87
4.25ERA ←4.39
1.36WHIP →1.32
3–6W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
JoseCategoryTanner
20K →60
5.27ERA →4.57
1.51WHIP →1.30
2W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jose Quintana
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.90)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tanner Bibee
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.269 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.55 is 0.46 above the ERA — regression coming
Jose Quintana: 59 K / 4.25 ERA. Tanner Bibee: 89 K / 4.39 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).