Rest of Season Projection
JoséCategoryPayton
127K ←106
4.06ERA →3.73
1.36WHIP →1.27
6–13W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
JoséCategoryPayton
85K ←46
2.72ERA →2.61
1.21WHIP →0.90
6W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
José Soriano
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.261 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.06 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
Payton Tolle
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.21)
José Soriano: 127 K / 4.06 ERA. Payton Tolle: 106 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).