MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Justin Bruihl
Justin Bruihl
STL · P
Change to
Randy Dobnak
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Randy Dobnak.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Justin Bruihl’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Randy Dobnak wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Justin Bruihl wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
91.6
Randy Dobnak
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
8.1%
Randy Dobnak
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
15.1%
Randy Dobnak
16.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
29.9%
Randy Dobnak
30.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
35.4%
Randy Dobnak
40.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
5.2%
Randy Dobnak
5.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
.312
Randy Dobnak
.335
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Bruihl
3.694.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.61
3.95
Randy Dobnak
3.694.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
4.40
WHIPlower is better
Justin Bruihl
1.251.89
now 1.46
1.40
Randy Dobnak
1.251.89
now 1.75
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Bruihl
4024.40
now 18
3
Randy Dobnak
4024.40
now 2
4
Winshigher is better
Justin Bruihl
.000.480
now 0
00
Randy Dobnak
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyJustin Bruihl — hold.conf 0.60
SellRandy Dobnak — sell.conf 0.75
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