MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 15, 2026
Engraved portrait of Keegan Akin
Keegan Akin
BAL·P
Hold med·0.55
Change to
Tommy Nance
TOR·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

KeeganCategoryTommy
37K 38
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0

Current Season

KeeganCategoryTommy
12K 26
9.88ERA 3.68
1.83WHIP 1.18
0W0
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Keegan Akin
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.324 elevated and unstable — the 7.32 ERA overstates the damage
  • xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.63 is +0.53 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
  • p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tommy Nance
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.51)

Keegan Akin: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Tommy Nance: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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