Rest of Season Projection
KevinCategoryYoshinobu
106K →118
3.33ERA ←3.66
1.16WHIP →1.15
4–9W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
KevinCategoryYoshinobu
66K →69
3.13ERA →2.86
1.09WHIP →1.00
4W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kevin Gausman
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.33, 0.77 below league — production is earned
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.259 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.66 is 0.80 above the ERA — regression coming
Kevin Gausman: 106 K / 3.33 ERA. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 118 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).