Rest of Season Projection
ParkerCategoryYoshinobu
115K →118
3.23ERA ←3.66
1.22WHIP →1.15
6–13W ←5–11
0SV0
Current Season
ParkerCategoryYoshinobu
74K ←69
2.21ERA ←2.86
1.07WHIP →1.00
6W ←5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Parker Messick
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.23, 0.87 below league — production is earned
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.259 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.66 is 0.80 above the ERA — regression coming
Parker Messick: 115 K / 3.23 ERA. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 118 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).