Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryYoshinobu
119K ←112
2.89ERA ←3.37
1.14WHIP →1.12
7–16W ←5–11
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryYoshinobu
72K ←69
1.96ERA ←2.86
0.96WHIP ←1.00
7W ←5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Burns
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.89 is 0.84 above the ERA — regression coming
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.240 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.37 is 0.69 above the ERA — regression coming
Chase Burns: 119 K / 2.89 ERA. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 112 K / 3.37 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).