MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Burns wins 2 (ERA, W); Jacob deGrom wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.8
Jacob deGrom
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.5%
Jacob deGrom
17.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
28.6%
Jacob deGrom
30.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.0%
Jacob deGrom
34.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
37.4%
Jacob deGrom
44.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
8.9%
Jacob deGrom
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.277
Jacob deGrom
.289
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
24.09
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.14
Jacob deGrom
24.09
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.43
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.34
now 0.96
1.23
Jacob deGrom
.9001.34
now 1.01
1.06

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
61.4083.60
now 72
67
Jacob deGrom
61.4083.60
now 78
68
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.00011.80
now 7
49
Jacob deGrom
.00011.80
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChase Burns — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.89
BuyJacob deGrom — buy.conf 0.80
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