Who's more valuable, rest of season
Jacob deGrom.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Chase Burns’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a
Jacob deGrom wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Chase Burns wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.6
Jacob deGrom
97.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.6%
Jacob deGrom
17.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
29.2%
Jacob deGrom
29.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.9%
Jacob deGrom
34.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
38.1%
Jacob deGrom
44.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
7.8%
Jacob deGrom
8.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.276
Jacob deGrom
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
24.17
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.15
Jacob deGrom
24.17
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.54
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.32
now 0.96
1.22
Jacob deGrom
.9001.32
now 1.01
1.14
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
40103.20
now 72
15
Jacob deGrom
40103.20
now 78
16
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.0009.40
now 7
1–2
Jacob deGrom
.0009.40
now 4
1–1
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyChase Burns — buy.conf 0.89
BuyJacob deGrom — buy.conf 0.77