MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Braxton Ashcraft wins 1 (WHIP); Chase Burns wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
97.3
Chase Burns
97.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
13.3%
Chase Burns
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
25.9%
Chase Burns
29.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
37.0%
Chase Burns
34.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
41.6%
Chase Burns
38.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
6.2%
Chase Burns
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
.287
Chase Burns
.276
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Braxton Ashcraft
24
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.77
3.42
Chase Burns
24
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.15
WHIPlower is better
Braxton Ashcraft
.9001.32
now 1.03
1.14
Chase Burns
.9001.32
now 0.96
1.22

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Braxton Ashcraft
40107.40
now 81
15
Chase Burns
40107.40
now 72
15
Winshigher is better
Braxton Ashcraft
.0009.40
now 5
11
Chase Burns
.0009.40
now 7
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBraxton Ashcraft — buy.conf 0.80
BuyChase Burns — buy.conf 0.89
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