Rest of Season Projection
BraxtonCategoryGavin
119K →123
2.77ERA ←4.17
1.14WHIP ←1.18
5–10W →8–17
0SV0
Current Season
BraxtonCategoryGavin
81K →88
2.77ERA ←3.07
1.03WHIP ←1.09
5W →8
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Braxton Ashcraft
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.77, 1.33 below league — production is earned
Gavin Williams
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.21 is 1.01 above the ERA — regression coming
Braxton Ashcraft: 119 K / 2.77 ERA. Gavin Williams: 123 K / 4.17 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).