MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Gavin Williams wins 2 (K, W); Joe Ryan wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gavin Williams
97.0
Joe Ryan
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
14.5%
Joe Ryan
13.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
29.9%
Joe Ryan
27.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
32.2%
Joe Ryan
32.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gavin Williams
49.0%
Joe Ryan
42.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gavin Williams
12.0%
Joe Ryan
11.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gavin Williams
.322
Joe Ryan
.290
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gavin Williams
2.594.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.07
4.28
Joe Ryan
2.594.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.49
WHIPlower is better
Gavin Williams
.9001.26
now 1.09
1.18
Joe Ryan
.9001.26
now 0.97
1.12

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gavin Williams
51.6098.40
now 88
65
Joe Ryan
51.6098.40
now 79
62
Winshigher is better
Gavin Williams
.00011.80
now 8
49
Joe Ryan
.00011.80
now 4
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellGavin Williams — hold.conf 0.60
BuyJoe Ryan — buy.conf 0.78
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