MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Gavin Williams wins 1 (WHIP); Joe Ryan wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gavin Williams
97.6
Joe Ryan
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
15.9%
Joe Ryan
12.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
33.5%
Joe Ryan
26.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
33.4%
Joe Ryan
32.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gavin Williams
47.4%
Joe Ryan
41.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gavin Williams
11.6%
Joe Ryan
10.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gavin Williams
.301
Joe Ryan
.290
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gavin Williams
2.794.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.07
3.78
Joe Ryan
2.794.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.49
WHIPlower is better
Gavin Williams
.9001.21
now 1.09
1.12
Joe Ryan
.9001.21
now 0.97
1.14

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gavin Williams
40117.20
now 88
15
Joe Ryan
40117.20
now 79
15
Winshigher is better
Gavin Williams
.00011.20
now 8
12
Joe Ryan
.00011.20
now 4
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyGavin Williams — buy.conf 0.70
BuyJoe Ryan — buy.conf 0.78
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