MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Portrait of Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Parker Messick
Parker Messick
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Joe Ryan.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Joe Ryan wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Parker Messick wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Joe Ryan
93.5
Parker Messick
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Joe Ryan
13.3%
Parker Messick
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Joe Ryan
28.4%
Parker Messick
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Joe Ryan
32.1%
Parker Messick
31.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Joe Ryan
41.8%
Parker Messick
32.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Joe Ryan
10.6%
Parker Messick
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Joe Ryan
.279
Parker Messick
.281
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Joe Ryan
23.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.19
Parker Messick
23.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.23
WHIPlower is better
Joe Ryan
.9001.35
now 0.97
1.12
Parker Messick
.9001.35
now 1.07
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Joe Ryan
5885
now 79
66
Parker Messick
5885
now 74
64
Winshigher is better
Joe Ryan
.0009
now 4
25
Parker Messick
.0009
now 6
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJoe Ryan — buy.conf 0.87
Sell HighParker Messick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
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