MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Parker Messick
Parker Messick
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chase Burns.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Burns wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W); Parker Messick wins 0 (none); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.8
Parker Messick
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.5%
Parker Messick
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
28.6%
Parker Messick
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.0%
Parker Messick
31.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
37.4%
Parker Messick
32.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
8.9%
Parker Messick
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.277
Parker Messick
.281
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.17
Parker Messick
23.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.26
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.35
now 0.96
1.23
Parker Messick
.9001.35
now 1.07
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
55.4079.60
now 72
64
Parker Messick
55.4079.60
now 74
61
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
110
now 7
48
Parker Messick
110
now 6
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChase Burns — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.90
Sell HighParker Messick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.86
Tweet