Who's more valuable, rest of season
Chase Burns.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and wins.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
◀
W
SV n/a
Chase Burns wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W); Parker Messick wins 0 (none); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.8
Parker Messick
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.5%
Parker Messick
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
28.6%
Parker Messick
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.0%
Parker Messick
31.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
37.4%
Parker Messick
32.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
8.9%
Parker Messick
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.277
Parker Messick
.281
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.17
Parker Messick
23.78
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.26
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.35
now 0.96
1.23
Parker Messick
.9001.35
now 1.07
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
55.4079.60
now 72
64
Parker Messick
55.4079.60
now 74
61
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
110
now 7
4–8
Parker Messick
110
now 6
3–7
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChase Burns — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.90
Sell HighParker Messick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.86

