Who's more valuable, rest of season
Parker Messick.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Chase Burns’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a
Parker Messick wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Chase Burns wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.6
Parker Messick
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.6%
Parker Messick
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
29.2%
Parker Messick
26.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.9%
Parker Messick
31.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
38.1%
Parker Messick
32.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
7.8%
Parker Messick
5.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.276
Parker Messick
.271
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.15
Parker Messick
23.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.03
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.32
now 0.96
1.22
Parker Messick
.9001.32
now 1.07
1.15
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
4098
now 72
15
Parker Messick
4098
now 74
14
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.0009.40
now 7
1–2
Parker Messick
.0009.40
now 6
1–2
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyChase Burns — buy.conf 0.89
Sell HighParker Messick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85