MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Burns wins 1 (ERA); Paul Skenes wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.6
Paul Skenes
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.6%
Paul Skenes
14.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
29.2%
Paul Skenes
28.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.9%
Paul Skenes
32.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
38.1%
Paul Skenes
38.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
7.8%
Paul Skenes
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.276
Paul Skenes
.280
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.75
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.15
Paul Skenes
23.75
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.89
3.24
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.36
now 0.96
1.22
Paul Skenes
.9001.36
now 0.86
1.21

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
4099
now 72
15
Paul Skenes
4099
now 75
15
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.0009.40
now 7
12
Paul Skenes
.0009.40
now 6
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyChase Burns — buy.conf 0.89
BuyPaul Skenes — buy.conf 0.86
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