MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Burns wins 2 (K, W); Paul Skenes wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.8
Paul Skenes
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.5%
Paul Skenes
14.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
28.6%
Paul Skenes
29.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.0%
Paul Skenes
33.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
37.4%
Paul Skenes
37.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
8.9%
Paul Skenes
6.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.277
Paul Skenes
.258
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.14
Paul Skenes
23.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.89
2.71
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.38
now 0.96
1.23
Paul Skenes
.9001.38
now 0.86
1.10

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
60.4080.60
now 72
67
Paul Skenes
60.4080.60
now 75
66
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.60011.40
now 7
49
Paul Skenes
.60011.40
now 6
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChase Burns — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.89
BuyPaul Skenes — buy.conf 0.92
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