MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chase Burns.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Burns wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Joe Ryan wins 1 (WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.8
Joe Ryan
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.5%
Joe Ryan
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
28.6%
Joe Ryan
28.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.0%
Joe Ryan
32.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
37.4%
Joe Ryan
41.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
8.9%
Joe Ryan
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.277
Joe Ryan
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.14
Joe Ryan
23.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.19
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.34
now 0.96
1.23
Joe Ryan
.9001.34
now 0.97
1.12

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
60.4084.60
now 72
68
Joe Ryan
60.4084.60
now 79
66
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.00011.80
now 7
49
Joe Ryan
.00011.80
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChase Burns — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.89
BuyJoe Ryan — buy.conf 0.87
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