MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Burns wins 1 (ERA); Joe Ryan wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.6
Joe Ryan
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.6%
Joe Ryan
12.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
29.2%
Joe Ryan
26.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.9%
Joe Ryan
32.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
38.1%
Joe Ryan
41.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
7.8%
Joe Ryan
10.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.276
Joe Ryan
.290
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
24.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.15
Joe Ryan
24.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.49
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.32
now 0.96
1.22
Joe Ryan
.9001.32
now 0.97
1.14

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
40104.60
now 72
15
Joe Ryan
40104.60
now 79
15
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.0009.80
now 7
12
Joe Ryan
.0009.80
now 4
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyChase Burns — buy.conf 0.89
BuyJoe Ryan — buy.conf 0.78
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