MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Portrait of Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Joe Ryan.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Braxton Ashcraft’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Joe Ryan wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Braxton Ashcraft wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
97.2
Joe Ryan
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
14.3%
Joe Ryan
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
27.8%
Joe Ryan
28.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
37.2%
Joe Ryan
32.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
41.0%
Joe Ryan
41.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
6.0%
Joe Ryan
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
.283
Joe Ryan
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Braxton Ashcraft
2.553.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.77
3.28
Joe Ryan
2.553.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.19
WHIPlower is better
Braxton Ashcraft
.9001.24
now 1.03
1.16
Joe Ryan
.9001.24
now 0.97
1.12

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Braxton Ashcraft
58.6087.40
now 81
65
Joe Ryan
58.6087.40
now 79
66
Winshigher is better
Braxton Ashcraft
.4007.60
now 5
36
Joe Ryan
.4007.60
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBraxton Ashcraft — buy.conf 0.85
BuyJoe Ryan — buy.conf 0.87
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