Who's more valuable, rest of season
Jacob deGrom.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Gavin Williams’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a
Jacob deGrom wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Gavin Williams wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gavin Williams
97.6
Jacob deGrom
97.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
15.9%
Jacob deGrom
17.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
33.5%
Jacob deGrom
29.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gavin Williams
33.4%
Jacob deGrom
34.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gavin Williams
47.4%
Jacob deGrom
44.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gavin Williams
11.6%
Jacob deGrom
8.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gavin Williams
.301
Jacob deGrom
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gavin Williams
2.794.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.07
3.78
Jacob deGrom
2.794.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.54
WHIPlower is better
Gavin Williams
.9401.21
now 1.09
1.12
Jacob deGrom
.9401.21
now 1.01
1.14
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gavin Williams
40117.20
now 88
15
Jacob deGrom
40117.20
now 78
16
Winshigher is better
Gavin Williams
.00010.80
now 8
1–2
Jacob deGrom
.00010.80
now 4
1–1
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyGavin Williams — buy.conf 0.70
BuyJacob deGrom — buy.conf 0.77