MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Kodai Senga
NYM · P
Change to
Matt Wilkinson
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matt Wilkinson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Wilkinson wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Kodai Senga wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kodai Senga
96.3
Matt Wilkinson
90.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
12.8%
Matt Wilkinson
6.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
25.8%
Matt Wilkinson
12.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kodai Senga
26.2%
Matt Wilkinson
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kodai Senga
39.4%
Matt Wilkinson
50.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kodai Senga
12.9%
Matt Wilkinson
9.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kodai Senga
.344
Matt Wilkinson
.362
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kodai Senga
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
4.74
Matt Wilkinson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Kodai Senga
.9002.53
now 1.95
1.47
Matt Wilkinson
.9002.53
now 0.50
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kodai Senga
4032.20
now 23
12
Matt Wilkinson
4032.20
now 0
0
Winshigher is better
Kodai Senga
.000.480
now 0
00
Matt Wilkinson
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellKodai Senga — sell.conf 0.84
Hold · wait & seeMatt Wilkinson — hold.conf 0.50
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